I’ve seen the footage… Trump’s alleged Epstein ‘birthday letter’ is just the start of this crisis. It could destroy his political career: DAN HODGES

Political commentator Dan Hodges has raised alarms over what he calls a potentially career-ending scandal involving former President Donald Trump and the late Jeffrey Epstein. At the center of the storm is an alleged birthday letter Trump reportedly sent to Epstein—one that could derail Trump’s political momentum if proven authentic.

What is this “birthday letter”?

According to recent reports, Epstein received a leather-bound birthday album for his 50th birthday, compiled by Ghislaine Maxwell. Among the contents was a provocative note, allegedly from Trump, featuring a drawing of a nude woman and the message:

“Happy Birthday — and may every day be another wonderful secret.”

Trump has denied writing the letter, calling it “fake and defamatory.” His legal team has already issued threats of legal action, insisting the entire episode is part of a coordinated smear campaign.

Dan Hodges: “This could be a political extinction event”

Hodges argues this scandal isn’t just about a crude joke in a birthday book. It symbolizes a dangerous connection—however distant—between Trump and Epstein, whose name has become synonymous with exploitation and scandal. Hodges warns that while Trump has survived countless controversies, this one carries a unique and damaging visual weight that can’t be easily brushed aside.

Why it matters

1. The letter’s style and tone fit into a broader narrative of Trump’s past associations with Epstein and his social circle.

2. Trump’s aggressive legal counteroffensive—reportedly pressuring legal allies to unseal grand jury materials—has drawn more attention than it has quieted.

3. Key political figures, including Republican allies, have privately expressed concern about the optics and potential fallout if more details emerge.

The tipping point?

Hodges believes this may be the moment where Trump’s usual strategy of denial and deflection fails to land. The birthday letter, even if unverified, casts a shadow over his political future. For voters already on edge about morality, accountability, and elite privilege, this could be the scandal that resonates in a uniquely personal and uncomfortable way.

Bottom line

Dan Hodges sees this not just as another scandal, but as a true crisis—one that has the potential to define the end of Trump’s political career. As the public awaits further revelations and verification, the alleged Epstein birthday letter may prove to be the most politically dangerous envelope ever sealed in Trump’s orbit.